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Texans at Patriots
Overall projection: Texans by 7 · includes current availability.
Game outlook
Projected score
HOU25projected points
PROJECTED OUTCOMEHOU to winBy 7 points · 43 total
NE18projected points
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The four matchups
Where the units meet.
Blue: offense · Gold: defense. Rank #1 is strongest.
Passing
HOU offense vs NE defense
Strong offenseYards per game
Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defenseMatchup balance +45
−100 Defense0Offense +100
Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.
Rushing
HOU offense vs NE defense
Slight defenseYards per game
Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defenseMatchup balance -22
−100 Defense0Offense +100
Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.
Passing
NE offense vs HOU defense
Strong defenseYards per game
Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defenseMatchup balance -58
−100 Defense0Offense +100
Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.
Rushing
NE offense vs HOU defense
Slight offenseYards per game
Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defenseMatchup balance +19
−100 Defense0Offense +100
Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.
Full ranks & yardage table
Team matchup profile
Complete rank and yardage overview
Passing and rushing performance shown side by side for a complete view of the matchup.
Texans awayvsPatriots home
Passing profile
MetricHOUNE
Pass defense rank#3#25
Pass offense rank#1#32
Avg. pass yards allowed154.0239.0
Avg. pass yards272.4119.4
Rushing profile
MetricHOUNE
Rush defense rank#17#13
Rush offense rank#23#8
Avg. rush yards allowed120.2118.0
Avg. rush yards104.2131.4
Matchup factors
Team-volume baselinePass/rush production is blended 50/50 with the opposing defense's yards allowed.
Matchup separationPatriots's combined pass/rush matchup score is -62 versus Texans; it sets the projected score gap.
Scoring profileAdvanced offense/defense workbook is not available for both teams, so this remains chart-led.
Team styleNo completed current-season team-style sample yet; the outlook remains chart-led.
Home fieldPatriots receives a +1.25 point home-field adjustment.
WeatherNo saved venue forecast yet; no weather adjustment is included.
AvailabilityNo unavailable players in the tracked QB/RB/WR/TE depth chart. Questionable players remain included.