← Weekly slateMATCHUP DETAIL · WEEK 13 - SUN, DEC 6, 10:00 AM PT
Jaguars at Bears
Overall projection: Bears by 1 · includes current availability.
Game outlook
Projected score
JAX22projected points
PROJECTED OUTCOMECHI to winBy 1 points · 45 total
CHI23projected points
Loading player projections…
The four matchups
Where the units meet.
Blue: offense · Gold: defense. Rank #1 is strongest.
Passing
JAX offense vs CHI defense
Slight defenseYards per game
Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defenseMatchup balance -16
−100 Defense0Offense +100
Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.
Rushing
JAX offense vs CHI defense
Slight offenseYards per game
Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defenseMatchup balance +13
−100 Defense0Offense +100
Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.
Passing
CHI offense vs JAX defense
NeutralYards per game
Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defenseMatchup balance -1
−100 Defense0Offense +100
Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.
Rushing
CHI offense vs JAX defense
Strong defenseYards per game
Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defenseMatchup balance -39
−100 Defense0Offense +100
Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.
Full ranks & yardage table
Team matchup profile
Complete rank and yardage overview
Passing and rushing performance shown side by side for a complete view of the matchup.
Jaguars awayvsBears home
Passing profile
MetricJAXCHI
Pass defense rank#32#6
Pass offense rank#20#22
Avg. pass yards allowed287.8174.0
Avg. pass yards201.6191.8
Rushing profile
MetricJAXCHI
Rush defense rank#8#18
Rush offense rank#11#29
Avg. rush yards allowed105.6120.8
Avg. rush yards126.295.4
Matchup factors
Team-volume baselinePass/rush production is blended 50/50 with the opposing defense's yards allowed.
Matchup separationBears's combined pass/rush matchup score is -37 versus Jaguars; it sets the projected score gap.
Scoring profileAdvanced offense/defense workbook is not available for both teams, so this remains chart-led.
Team styleNo completed current-season team-style sample yet; the outlook remains chart-led.
Home fieldBears receives a +1.25 point home-field adjustment.
WeatherNo saved venue forecast yet; no weather adjustment is included.
AvailabilityNo unavailable players in the tracked QB/RB/WR/TE depth chart. Questionable players remain included.