MATCHUP DETAIL · WEEK 18 - SAT, JAN 9, 9:00 PM PT

Buccaneers at Saints

Overall projection: Saints by 2 · includes current availability.

Game outlook

Projected score

TB22projected points

PROJECTED OUTCOMENO to winBy 2 points · 46 total

NO24projected points

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The four matchups

Where the units meet.

Blue: offense · Gold: defense. Rank #1 is strongest.

Passing

TB offense vs NO defense

Neutral

League rank

TB OFF

#15

NO DEF

#26

Yards per game

TB gained213.0 yd

NO allowed251.2 yd

Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance +10

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

TB offense vs NO defense

Slight defense

League rank

TB OFF

#20

NO DEF

Yards per game

TB gained108.8 yd

NO allowed105.0 yd

Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -19

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Passing

NO offense vs TB defense

Neutral

League rank

NO OFF

#21

TB DEF

#28

Yards per game

NO gained196.0 yd

TB allowed258.4 yd

Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -1

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

NO offense vs TB defense

Neutral

League rank

NO OFF

#10

TB DEF

#15

Yards per game

NO gained127.2 yd

TB allowed119.8 yd

Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance +11

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Full ranks & yardage table

Team matchup profile

Complete rank and yardage overview

Passing and rushing performance shown side by side for a complete view of the matchup.

Buccaneers awayvsSaints home

Passing profile

MetricTBNO

Pass defense rank#28#26

Pass offense rank#15#21

Avg. pass yards allowed258.4251.2

Avg. pass yards213.0196.0

Rushing profile

MetricTBNO

Rush defense rank#15#7

Rush offense rank#20#10

Avg. rush yards allowed119.8105.0

Avg. rush yards108.8127.2

Matchup factors

Team-volume baselinePass/rush production is blended 50/50 with the opposing defense's yards allowed.

Matchup separationSaints's combined pass/rush matchup score is +19 versus Buccaneers; it sets the projected score gap.

Division familiarityThe projected margin is reduced by 18% for a division matchup, where repeat opponents tend to produce tighter score separation.

Scoring profileAdvanced offense/defense workbook is not available for both teams, so this remains chart-led.

Team styleNo completed current-season team-style sample yet; the outlook remains chart-led.

Home fieldSaints receives a +1.25 point home-field adjustment.

WeatherNo saved venue forecast yet; no weather adjustment is included.

AvailabilityNo unavailable players in the tracked QB/RB/WR/TE depth chart. Questionable players remain included.